He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money RMU -290 / GB +235
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual GB +4 138 Lost
Massey RMU -5.3 (-9.3) — —
Massey Totals — 148.8 (-10.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RMU -4.5 (-8.5) 145.0 (-7.0) 72% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -6.9 (-10.9) 141.4 (-3.4) 78% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -4.0 (-8.0) 144.8 (-6.8) 69% ✗
Baseline ML RMU -3.7 (-7.7) 146.0 (-8.0) 72% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 5, 2025 RMU 80 – 78 GB
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 94 – 85 GB
Jan 18, 2025 RMU 89 – 67 GB
Feb 9, 2024 GB 81 – 76 RMU
Dec 31, 2023 GB 78 – 61 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU GB
Overall 22-11 18-15
Conference 13-7 12-8
Home 14-3 10-4
Away 8-7 6-9
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.8 73.9
Avg Pts Against 73.4 75.9
Massey -2.3 (#200) -4.4 (#235)
Bradley-Terry -0.00 (#170) -0.03 (#172)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#168) -0.27 (#193)
RPI 0.493 (#196) 0.517 (#131)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU GB
FG% 46.3% 47.6%
3PT% 36.9% 35.1%
REB / G 37.1 30.2
OREB / G 13.3 7.2
AST / TO 1.33 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 54.6%
TOV% 19.0% 16.6%
ORB% 38.1% 24.2%
FT Rate 22.1% 33.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 13.0%
DRB% 70.2% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 36.4% 27.2%

Game Analysis

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