But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Horizon League · Resch Center · December 31, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread GB -3.5 Home covered
O/U 136.0 Over
Money GB -165 / RMU +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual GB +17 139 Won
Massey GB -6.8 (+10.2) — —
Massey Totals — 136.6 (+2.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GB -5.3 (+11.7) 136.5 (+2.5) 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GB -3.2 (+13.8) 138.8 (+0.2) 63% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GB -4.9 (+12.1) 139.2 (-0.2) 70% ✓
Baseline ML GB -5.2 (+11.8) 139.8 (-0.8) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 GB 71 – 67 RMU
Dec 5, 2025 RMU 80 – 78 GB
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 94 – 85 GB
Jan 18, 2025 RMU 89 – 67 GB
Feb 9, 2024 GB 81 – 76 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB RMU
Overall 18-14 10-22
Conference 13-7 6-14
Home 10-5 7-9
Away 8-8 3-13
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L7
Avg Pts For 68.6 72.2
Avg Pts Against 70.2 77.4
Massey -3.4 (#237) -5.6 (#269)
Bradley-Terry -0.40 (#223) -1.81 (#317)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.75 (#241) -2.49 (#319)
RPI 0.482 (#200) 0.409 (#327)
Shooting & Four Factors GB RMU
FG% 43.8% 42.8%
3PT% 33.1% 32.1%
REB / G 32.9 32.4
OREB / G 8.2 11.3
AST / TO 0.77 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 48.9%
TOV% 21.7% 20.6%
ORB% 26.1% 30.8%
FT Rate 18.4% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 19.8%
DRB% 70.2% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.6% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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