We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Horizon League · Resch Center · December 31, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread GB -3.5 Home covered
O/U 136.0 Over
Money GB -165 / RMU +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual GB +17 139 Won
Massey GB -6.8 (+10.2)
Massey Totals 136.6 (+2.4)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML GB -3.2 (+13.8) 138.8 (+0.2) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML GB -4.9 (+12.1) 139.2 (-0.2) 70%
Baseline ML GB -5.2 (+11.8) 139.8 (-0.8) 67%
Baseline Plus ML GB -5.3 (+11.7) 136.5 (+2.5) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 GB 7167 RMU
Dec 5, 2025 RMU 8078 GB
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 9485 GB
Jan 18, 2025 RMU 8967 GB
Feb 9, 2024 GB 8176 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB RMU
Overall 18-14 10-22
Conference 13-7 6-14
Home 10-5 7-9
Away 8-8 3-13
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L7
Avg Pts For 68.6 72.2
Avg Pts Against 70.2 77.4
Massey -3.4 (#237) -5.6 (#269)
Bradley-Terry -0.40 (#223) -1.81 (#317)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.75 (#241) -2.49 (#319)
RPI 0.482 (#200) 0.409 (#327)
Shooting & Four Factors GB RMU
FG% 43.8% 42.8%
3PT% 33.1% 32.1%
REB / G 32.9 32.4
OREB / G 8.2 11.3
AST / TO 0.77 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 48.9%
TOV% 21.7% 20.6%
ORB% 26.1% 30.8%
FT Rate 18.4% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 19.8%
DRB% 70.2% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.6% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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