You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Horizon League · Resch Center · December 5, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money GB -108 / RMU -112
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual RMU +2 158 Lost
Massey GB -4.5 (-6.5)
Massey Totals 146.5 (+11.5)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 67%
Efficiency Plus ML GB -0.8 (-2.8) 141.0 (+17.0) 51%
Baseline Tuned ML GB -1.7 (-3.7) 140.1 (+17.9) 65%
Baseline ML GB -1.0 (-3.0) 139.9 (+18.1) 57%
Baseline Plus ML GB -2.1 (-4.1) 136.3 (+21.7) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 GB 7167 RMU
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 9485 GB
Jan 18, 2025 RMU 8967 GB
Feb 9, 2024 GB 8176 RMU
Dec 31, 2023 GB 7861 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB RMU
Overall 18-15 22-11
Conference 12-8 13-7
Home 10-4 14-3
Away 6-9 8-7
Neutral 2-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.9 76.8
Avg Pts Against 75.9 73.4
Massey -2.3 (#200) -1.8 (#194)
Bradley-Terry 0.57 (#144) 0.47 (#151)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.66 (#145) 1.19 (#113)
RPI 0.572 (#76) 0.536 (#119)
Shooting & Four Factors GB RMU
FG% 41.2% 45.2%
3PT% 30.0% 35.8%
REB / G 31.6 37.9
OREB / G 8.3 14.0
AST / TO 1.23 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 52.6%
TOV% 14.7% 20.7%
ORB% 23.5% 39.0%
FT Rate 29.9% 13.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 11.6% 16.6%
DRB% 72.8% 65.2%
Opp FT Rate 32.0% 36.4%

Game Analysis

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