Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -140 SPU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +5 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -2.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.4 (-5.4) | 130.1 (-3.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.9 (-5.9) | 131.2 (-4.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.5 (-5.5) | 132.7 (-5.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.0 (-5.0) | 131.1 (-4.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | SHU 78 – 71 SPU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SPU 85 – 79 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#273) | -4.6 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#288) | -0.98 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#274) | -1.39 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#294) | 0.448 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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