Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SHU +105 SPU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -1.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -1.4 (+8.4) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -0.8 (+7.8) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -0.6 (+7.6) | 144.1 (+4.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -0.7 (+7.7) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2025 | SPU 85 – 79 SHU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SPU 66 – 61 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#296) | -4.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#291) | -0.09 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#281) | -0.38 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#254) | 0.520 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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