Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SPU -125 SHU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -2.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -1.7 (+4.3) | 138.5 (+25.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -0.5 (+5.5) | 137.4 (+26.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -0.8 (+5.2) | 138.6 (+25.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -0.2 (+5.8) | 138.1 (+25.9) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | SHU 78 – 71 SPU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SPU 66 – 61 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#282) | -6.4 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#294) | -1.01 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#296) | -1.33 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#298) | 0.467 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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