Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -175 COLO +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -0.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.0 (+10.0) | 139.2 (+16.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -0.6 (+9.4) | 140.1 (+15.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.2 (+9.8) | 139.4 (+16.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -0.7 (+9.3) | 139.9 (+16.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | OKST 92 – 83 COLO |
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLO 83 – 69 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#129) | 6.0 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#130) | 1.22 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#119) | 1.31 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#160) | 0.517 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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