Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -400 MER +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +20 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -9.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-36.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -7.8 (+12.2) | 148.8 (-30.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -8.5 (+11.5) | 147.7 (-29.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -7.8 (+12.2) | 149.8 (-31.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -8.6 (+11.4) | 149.0 (-31.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WOF 80 – 77 MER |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MER 109 – 97 WOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WOF 77 – 66 MER |
| Feb 15, 2024 | WOF 73 – 60 MER |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WOF 74 – 73 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#140) | -4.3 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#158) | -0.73 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#127) | -0.99 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#115) | 0.460 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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