Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MER +110 WOF -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -0.9 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -0.2 (-10.8) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.8 (-10.2) | 148.0 (-5.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MER -0.1 (-11.1) | 147.9 (-4.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.1 (-10.9) | 149.8 (-6.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WOF 80 – 77 MER |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MER 109 – 97 WOF |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WOF 69 – 49 MER |
| Feb 15, 2024 | WOF 73 – 60 MER |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WOF 74 – 73 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MER | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#232) | 0.1 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#227) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#238) | 0.15 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#249) | 0.513 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MER | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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