Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -175 MER +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -7.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.1 (-3.1) | 149.2 (-2.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -4.7 (-3.7) | 146.9 (+0.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -4.1 (-3.1) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -4.0 (-3.0) | 147.3 (-0.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WOF 80 – 77 MER |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MER 109 – 97 WOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WOF 77 – 66 MER |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WOF 69 – 49 MER |
| Feb 15, 2024 | WOF 73 – 60 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#177) | -3.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#190) | -0.40 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#194) | -1.01 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#208) | 0.472 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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