Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WVU +230 ISU -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +7 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -4.4 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -2.5 (+9.5) | 137.8 (-16.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -4.1 (+11.1) | 136.6 (-15.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -3.0 (+10.0) | 135.5 (-14.5) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -3.0 (+10.0) | 136.8 (-15.8) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ISU 80 – 59 WVU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | ISU 71 – 64 WVU |
| Feb 28, 2023 | WVU 72 – 69 ISU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WVU 76 – 71 ISU |
| Feb 24, 2022 | ISU 84 – 81 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#35) | 21.9 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#24) | 4.57 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#35) | 6.17 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#35) | 0.653 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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