Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -5.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+38.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -4.0 (-1.0) | 131.0 (+34.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -5.6 (-2.6) | 130.6 (+34.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -5.8 (-2.8) | 132.3 (+32.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -5.1 (-2.1) | 134.1 (+30.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ISU 80 – 59 WVU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WVU 64 – 57 ISU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | ISU 71 – 64 WVU |
| Feb 28, 2023 | WVU 72 – 69 ISU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WVU 76 – 71 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#37) | 8.1 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#30) | 1.62 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#28) | 2.06 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#94) | 0.547 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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