What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Big 12 Conference · Hilton Coliseum · February 24, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread ISU -5.0 Away covered
O/U 132.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total ISU win
Actual ISU +3 165 Won
Massey ISU -5.7 (-2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 126.8 (+38.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ISU -5.1 (-2.1) 134.1 (+30.9) 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ISU -4.0 (-1.0) 131.0 (+34.0) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ISU -5.6 (-2.6) 130.6 (+34.4) 71% ✓
Baseline ML ISU -5.8 (-2.8) 132.3 (+32.7) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 3, 2026 ISU 80 – 59 WVU
Jan 18, 2025 WVU 64 – 57 ISU
Feb 24, 2024 ISU 71 – 64 WVU
Feb 28, 2023 WVU 72 – 69 ISU
Feb 9, 2023 WVU 76 – 71 ISU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ISU WVU
Overall 22-13 16-17
Conference 7-11 4-14
Home 14-5 12-5
Away 4-6 1-11
Neutral 4-2 3-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.6 68.5
Avg Pts Against 62.5 69.0
Massey 11.0 (#37) 8.1 (#69)
Bradley-Terry 2.35 (#30) 1.62 (#60)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.92 (#28) 2.06 (#57)
RPI 0.546 (#94) 0.547 (#89)
Shooting & Four Factors ISU WVU
FG% 44.3% 41.0%
3PT% 32.4% 32.0%
REB / G 32.8 32.9
OREB / G 9.9 10.8
AST / TO 1.06 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 46.5%
TOV% 20.2% 18.0%
ORB% 29.6% 29.7%
FT Rate 19.1% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 25.0% 22.8%
DRB% 72.2% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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