Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -250 ISU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -3.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -3.5 (+1.5) | 137.5 (+9.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -3.4 (+1.6) | 135.1 (+11.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -3.5 (+1.5) | 137.7 (+9.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -3.4 (+1.6) | 137.3 (+9.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ISU 80 – 59 WVU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WVU 64 – 57 ISU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | ISU 71 – 64 WVU |
| Feb 28, 2023 | WVU 72 – 69 ISU |
| Feb 24, 2022 | ISU 84 – 81 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#17) | 14.6 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#39) | 2.70 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#23) | 3.32 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#36) | 0.603 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 26.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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