Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -5000 WVU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -21.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -15.1 (-8.1) | 142.4 (-7.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -17.2 (-10.2) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -17.7 (-10.7) | 144.3 (-9.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -18.2 (-11.2) | 144.4 (-9.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ISU 80 – 59 WVU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WVU 64 – 57 ISU |
| Feb 28, 2023 | WVU 72 – 69 ISU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WVU 76 – 71 ISU |
| Feb 24, 2022 | ISU 84 – 81 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 18-0 | 9-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#6) | 1.4 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#9) | 0.10 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#16) | 0.37 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#23) | 0.494 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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