Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -213 WVU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -3.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -3.6 (-6.6) | 135.5 (+5.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -3.5 (-6.5) | 131.0 (+10.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -3.3 (-6.3) | 133.1 (+7.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -3.6 (-6.6) | 135.0 (+6.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ISU 80 – 59 WVU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WVU 64 – 57 ISU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | ISU 71 – 64 WVU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WVU 76 – 71 ISU |
| Feb 24, 2022 | ISU 84 – 81 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#22) | 13.2 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#27) | 1.83 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#25) | 2.59 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#70) | 0.568 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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