The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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92–30 on winners spread MAE 8.5 122 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Nebraska @ Purdue +15.4 132.8 89% 55–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +9.4 132.7 83% 51–58 ✓
Siena @ Niagara -0.4 127.9 42% 70–64 ✓
Manhattan @ Mount St. Mary's +7.5 131.5 71% 62–57 ✗
Fairfield @ Iona +15.4 136.4 88% 69–75 ✓
Marist @ Canisius +4.6 134.9 67% 76–58 ✗
Villanova @ Butler +3.1 135.1 66% 71–79 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Akron +12.9 148.7 87% 67–104 ✓
Michigan State @ Illinois +7.0 139.9 77% 66–75 ✓
VCU @ Dayton +6.8 131.9 63% 63–62 ✗
Utah State @ Nevada +1.5 142.5 69% 70–85 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee +13.7 133.4 82% 63–56 ✗
Miami @ NC State +3.8 150.3 73% 81–83 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma +2.5 134.5 60% 76–77 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul -3.5 139.0 32% 71–67 ✓
Davidson @ George Mason +4.9 137.7 71% 65–67 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis -11.7 132.8 14% 89–54 ✓
Drexel @ Northeastern -1.7 131.2 40% 76–55 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Joseph's +3.0 142.2 67% 55–86 ✓
Wisconsin @ Indiana +5.0 134.3 71% 45–63 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +7.3 128.0 76% 48–62 ✓
Army @ Boston University +2.6 142.1 63% 83–74 ✗
Maine @ UMBC +8.0 147.6 83% 77–85 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire -0.9 143.1 38% 87–81 ✓
Columbia @ Harvard +13.7 133.9 87% 51–73 ✓
Georgia @ Ole Miss +2.5 131.3 63% 62–58 ✗
Western Carolina @ The Citadel -2.6 142.8 38% 61–65 ✗
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan -0.5 147.0 48% 92–108 ✗
Sacred Heart @ St. Francis Brooklyn -1.5 135.6 43% 79–82 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut +1.4 144.9 51% 88–80 ✗
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy +5.3 140.3 72% 75–87 ✓
North Alabama @ Queens University +9.2 152.2 81% 78–107 ✓
North Dakota State @ Omaha -0.9 144.3 37% 78–65 ✓
Kansas State @ TCU +3.2 147.9 71% 68–82 ✓
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt -2.6 143.9 40% 84–97 ✗
Providence @ Creighton +4.2 148.0 71% 67–73 ✓
UCF @ Tulane -2.4 145.2 40% 69–77 ✗
Bucknell @ Colgate +12.9 146.6 88% 65–71 ✓
American University @ Lehigh -2.6 132.3 43% 62–78 ✗
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic +3.9 125.1 66% 62–66 ✓
North Carolina @ Louisville -14.6 149.2 13% 80–59 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -5.6 140.7 39% 65–66 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth -3.3 139.9 40% 71–75 ✗
Princeton @ Brown -3.7 132.2 37% 70–72 ✗
UTSA @ Charlotte +13.9 135.0 88% 54–72 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +3.2 132.6 60% 72–67 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Radford +8.5 140.7 75% 70–75 ✓
Winthrop @ Campbell +3.5 138.8 69% 78–74 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Ball State +10.8 146.6 87% 61–75 ✓
Merrimack @ Stonehill +6.7 129.6 63% 59–47 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State +2.1 134.5 59% 66–100 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +6.8 144.2 74% 62–86 ✓
Stony Brook @ North Carolina A&T +2.4 136.2 63% 59–61 ✓
North Florida @ Kennesaw State +8.2 152.7 84% 72–86 ✓
Richmond @ St. Bonaventure +0.9 132.4 50% 63–71 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech -2.4 142.4 41% 71–60 ✓
UTEP @ Rice +3.5 144.4 69% 82–83 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle -1.2 142.8 45% 66–64 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Southern Utah +3.1 149.2 67% 58–67 ✓
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State -9.0 128.4 22% 74–57 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -4.2 127.2 31% 58–61 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver +4.4 140.1 68% 71–78 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland -6.7 154.4 32% 85–69 ✓
Monmouth @ Towson +15.4 129.7 90% 48–68 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +1.5 151.6 64% 70–85 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +4.8 152.5 68% 64–73 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State -1.3 146.7 48% 91–86 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas +6.9 129.9 82% 60–62 ✓
Virginia @ Florida State -10.0 132.0 16% 67–58 ✓
Elon @ Charleston +17.5 149.3 90% 60–78 ✓
South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central +12.2 155.1 86% 67–71 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida A&M -2.1 129.7 33% 67–54 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State +10.8 138.3 85% 69–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ SMU -4.2 145.3 34% 54–52 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +2.8 139.4 70% 73–81 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Bethune-Cookman +4.3 137.3 75% 71–77 ✓
Morgan State @ Coppin State -1.2 153.3 45% 83–66 ✓
Arizona State @ Oregon State -8.3 132.8 22% 74–69 ✓
UIC @ Murray State +10.6 141.2 84% 64–81 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville -0.8 138.4 42% 76–69 ✓
UAB @ Louisiana Tech -2.4 154.6 39% 81–74 ✓
Howard @ Norfolk State +8.2 138.7 73% 86–84 ✗
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +1.5 140.0 59% 63–77 ✓
Saint Louis @ George Washington -2.7 152.1 35% 81–74 ✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +3.1 132.9 63% 68–55 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +5.5 138.9 70% 88–80 ✗
Long Island University @ Saint Francis +10.3 155.0 84% 68–87 ✓
Louisiana @ South Alabama -1.0 140.8 42% 79–76 ✓
Troy @ App State -1.7 133.9 39% 45–58 ✗
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +2.8 142.4 62% 63–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge -12.0 135.0 15% 71–57 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine -6.2 130.4 31% 41–61 ✗
LSU @ Alabama +12.7 149.5 86% 66–106 ✓
Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +10.4 132.9 86% 66–68 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.4 153.6 85% 79–97 ✓
Houston Christian @ McNeese +8.3 149.8 75% 90–81 ✗
Rhode Island @ Massachusetts +5.0 142.7 70% 65–75 ✓
Buffalo @ Central Michigan -0.5 145.9 46% 78–87 ✗
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -8.2 152.5 21% 84–67 ✓
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois +1.7 141.5 54% 63–70 ✓
Duke @ Clemson +0.1 138.9 54% 64–72 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Belmont +5.4 138.2 75% 72–76 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland -4.6 130.1 33% 67–69 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State +4.3 138.8 74% 63–72 ✓
William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington +12.5 132.8 87% 69–67 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.0 123.4 52% 52–56 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +3.7 140.4 67% 79–83 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State +5.9 138.2 77% 56–59 ✓
Austin Peay @ Lipscomb +5.9 139.8 69% 72–86 ✓
Jacksonville @ Jacksonville State -3.8 128.3 34% 68–62 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word -5.3 148.4 23% 75–71 ✓
Lamar @ East Texas A&M +10.5 143.3 86% 66–81 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Baylor +7.4 140.6 83% 58–74 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern -0.9 143.6 44% 79–74 ✓
California @ Washington +7.8 129.1 77% 78–81 ✓
Texas A&M @ South Carolina -8.5 135.5 17% 94–53 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +2.5 147.0 68% 74–75 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State +7.8 127.8 79% 52–67 ✓
Arizona @ Oregon -3.1 152.1 36% 68–87 ✗
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M +4.2 132.9 64% 50–59 ✓
Lindenwood @ SIU Edwardsville +10.6 140.1 86% 58–68 ✓
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +9.4 145.4 83% 74–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.