Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -350 NAU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -9.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -6.7 (-3.7) | 141.0 (-26.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -5.9 (-2.9) | 138.2 (-23.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -6.7 (-3.7) | 141.9 (-26.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -6.5 (-3.5) | 141.5 (-26.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NAU 79 – 74 SAC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SAC 83 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NAU 65 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NAU 77 – 53 SAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NAU 73 – 58 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#187) | -5.7 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#153) | -1.12 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#165) | -1.51 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#140) | 0.440 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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