Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | PV -150 JKST +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +9 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | PV -7.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -4.8 (+4.2) | 137.5 (-28.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -4.2 (+4.8) | 132.9 (-23.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -4.5 (+4.5) | 136.5 (-27.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -4.7 (+4.3) | 136.3 (-27.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JKST 82 – 78 PV |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JKST 88 – 74 PV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JKST 79 – 70 PV |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JKST 79 – 74 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-14 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#257) | -8.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#281) | -1.16 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#272) | -2.15 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#284) | 0.441 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.8% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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