Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +125 WCU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -1.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -3.1 (+7.1) | 145.6 (-19.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -2.6 (+6.6) | 142.8 (-16.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -3.5 (+7.5) | 144.9 (-18.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -2.8 (+6.8) | 144.7 (-18.7) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#329) | -3.9 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#297) | -0.54 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#301) | -0.76 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#290) | 0.465 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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