Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +120 SIE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -0.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -0.3 (-5.7) | 130.0 (+4.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -0.4 (-5.6) | 127.9 (+6.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -0.1 (-6.1) | 130.5 (+3.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -0.2 (-5.8) | 131.8 (+2.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#236) | 0.8 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#193) | 0.58 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#222) | 0.64 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#177) | 0.525 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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