Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -1200 NIA +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +29 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -18.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -11.8 (+17.2) | 126.8 (+10.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -12.2 (+16.8) | 127.3 (+9.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -10.3 (+18.7) | 129.0 (+8.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -12.3 (+16.7) | 127.6 (+9.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NIA 66 – 59 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#159) | -12.6 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#121) | -2.54 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#122) | -3.50 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#174) | 0.354 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 24.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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