Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | NIA -140 SIE +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -3.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -0.9 (+0.1) | 130.3 (+6.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -1.3 (-0.3) | 132.2 (+4.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -1.0 (-0.0) | 132.1 (+4.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -0.4 (+0.6) | 131.8 (+5.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NIA 66 – 59 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#274) | -4.5 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#274) | 0.66 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#290) | 0.55 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#294) | 0.546 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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