Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SIE +300 NIA -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +7 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -8.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -8.7 (+1.7) | 137.1 (-12.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -6.8 (-0.2) | 136.7 (-11.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -7.9 (+0.9) | 135.0 (-10.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -7.4 (+0.4) | 135.5 (-10.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 2-12 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#357) | -5.3 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#353) | -0.86 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#352) | -1.19 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#338) | 0.460 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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