Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +425 SIE -575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +3 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -10.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -10.6 (+7.6) | 126.0 (+35.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -10.5 (+7.5) | 124.6 (+36.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -8.7 (+5.7) | 127.6 (+33.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -9.8 (+6.8) | 127.6 (+33.4) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NIA 66 – 59 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -14.6 (#349) | -0.8 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#348) | -0.17 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#346) | -0.24 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#337) | 0.497 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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