Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | NIA -700 SIE +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -11.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -8.3 (-6.3) | 131.3 (+0.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -10.5 (-8.5) | 132.0 (+0.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -10.0 (-8.0) | 131.0 (+1.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -10.3 (-8.3) | 133.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NIA 66 – 59 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 5-9 | 2-12 |
| Away | 10-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#265) | -16.5 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#272) | -2.72 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#277) | -3.41 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#261) | 0.403 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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