If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Southland Conference · David R. Stopher Gymnasium · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread NICH -2.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money NICH -138 / NWST +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total NICH win
Actual NICH +14 140 Won
Massey NICH -0.4 (+13.6) — —
Massey Totals — 142.8 (-2.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 37% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 45% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NWST -0.6 (+14.6) 140.4 (-0.4) 53% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NICH -1.5 (+12.5) 140.0 (+0.0) 59% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NICH -0.2 (+13.8) 140.1 (-0.1) 52% ✓
Baseline ML NWST -0.1 (+14.1) 139.6 (+0.4) 54% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 9, 2026 NICH 61 – 47 NWST
Feb 3, 2026 NICH 61 – 58 NWST
Jan 6, 2026 NICH 74 – 72 NWST
Feb 11, 2025 NWST 72 – 60 NICH
Jan 4, 2025 NWST 68 – 66 NICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NICH NWST
Overall 16-15 22-11
Conference 11-7 13-5
Home 11-2 10-3
Away 4-11 10-7
Neutral 1-2 2-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 74.5
Avg Pts Against 75.6 72.2
Massey -5.8 (#268) -2.1 (#217)
Bradley-Terry -0.82 (#260) 0.39 (#141)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.15 (#266) -0.14 (#189)
RPI 0.464 (#244) 0.527 (#131)
Shooting & Four Factors NICH NWST
FG% 40.6% 40.7%
3PT% 29.3% 35.4%
REB / G 30.5 34.1
OREB / G 10.6 14.0
AST / TO 0.87 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 48.0%
TOV% 19.6% 18.0%
ORB% 27.1% 34.7%
FT Rate 18.1% 17.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 24.1% 22.6%
DRB% 61.9% 62.8%
Opp FT Rate 38.8% 31.3%

Game Analysis

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