Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN +163 PRIN -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -4.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -4.6 (+6.6) | 134.3 (+7.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -3.7 (+5.7) | 132.2 (+9.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -4.0 (+6.0) | 134.8 (+7.2) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -4.0 (+6.0) | 134.5 (+7.5) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#226) | 6.1 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#242) | 0.68 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#249) | 1.10 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#239) | 0.533 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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