Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WMU +100 BGSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +16 | 200 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -0.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+52.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -0.2 (+15.8) | 150.0 (+50.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -0.5 (+16.5) | 147.0 (+53.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -0.1 (+15.9) | 148.6 (+51.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -0.1 (+16.1) | 150.1 (+49.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | WMU 88 – 79 BGSU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BGSU 72 – 54 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WMU 64 – 63 BGSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BGSU 83 – 79 WMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BGSU 73 – 65 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 1-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#303) | -3.2 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#337) | -0.75 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#339) | -1.00 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#301) | 0.446 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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