Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -10.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (+31.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -7.8 (-4.8) | 129.1 (+29.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -7.3 (-4.3) | 132.8 (+26.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -7.3 (-4.3) | 133.3 (+25.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -7.7 (-4.7) | 130.8 (+28.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAL 82 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | WASH 77 – 75 CAL |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WASH 65 – 56 CAL |
| Feb 4, 2022 | WASH 84 – 63 CAL |
| Jan 13, 2022 | WASH 64 – 55 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-6 | 3-14 |
| Away | 2-9 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L16 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 58.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#103) | -2.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#116) | -1.55 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#114) | -1.54 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#111) | 0.440 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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