Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | WASH -135 CAL +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +9 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | CAL -0.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -0.2 (+9.2) | 134.4 (-15.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -0.4 (+8.6) | 135.2 (-16.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -0.1 (+9.1) | 133.8 (-14.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.0 (+9.0) | 137.0 (-18.0) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAL 82 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | WASH 77 – 75 CAL |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WASH 65 – 56 CAL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WASH 81 – 78 CAL |
| Feb 4, 2022 | WASH 84 – 63 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#190) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#167) | 0.45 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#170) | 0.75 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#133) | 0.500 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 79.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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