Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -350 CAL +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +2 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -10.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -10.0 (-12.0) | 156.3 (+5.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -10.0 (-12.0) | 155.8 (+6.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -10.2 (-12.2) | 156.1 (+5.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -9.9 (-11.9) | 158.1 (+3.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2024 | WASH 77 – 75 CAL |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WASH 65 – 56 CAL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WASH 81 – 78 CAL |
| Feb 4, 2022 | WASH 84 – 63 CAL |
| Jan 13, 2022 | WASH 64 – 55 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#54) | 3.5 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#90) | 0.16 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#84) | 0.69 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#89) | 0.491 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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