Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CAL +310 WASH -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +9 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -6.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -8.0 (-1.0) | 131.3 (-10.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -7.4 (-1.6) | 129.9 (-8.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -8.2 (-0.8) | 132.0 (-11.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -6.6 (-2.4) | 131.4 (-10.4) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAL 82 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | WASH 77 – 75 CAL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WASH 81 – 78 CAL |
| Feb 4, 2022 | WASH 84 – 63 CAL |
| Jan 13, 2022 | WASH 64 – 55 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-14 | 12-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L16 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.3 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#257) | 4.5 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#329) | 0.87 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#299) | 0.97 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#321) | 0.517 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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