Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +500 UCI -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +14 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -10.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -12.0 (-2.0) | 137.4 (-9.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -12.0 (-2.0) | 135.0 (-7.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -11.7 (-2.3) | 136.6 (-8.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -12.1 (-1.9) | 136.8 (-8.8) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UCI 93 – 78 CSUN |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCI 68 – 67 CSUN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCI 85 – 71 CSUN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CSUN 84 – 72 UCI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCI 77 – 67 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-14 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#310) | 6.4 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#357) | 0.83 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#357) | 1.11 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#362) | 0.535 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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