Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -2500 ELON +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -23.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -18.1 (-0.1) | 147.8 (-9.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -17.5 (+0.5) | 149.3 (-11.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -16.9 (+1.1) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -18.2 (-0.2) | 148.5 (-10.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 17-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 11-2 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#72) | -11.8 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#7) | -4.47 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#14) | -5.58 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#9) | 0.323 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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