Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UNH +200 BRY -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +6 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -0.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -0.9 (-5.1) | 144.1 (+23.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -0.9 (-5.1) | 143.1 (+24.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.5 (-4.5) | 141.0 (+27.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.3 (-4.7) | 142.6 (+25.4) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#265) | -1.0 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#276) | 0.22 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#283) | -0.26 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#281) | 0.516 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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