Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -115 UNH -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +8 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -0.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+45.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -1.7 (+9.7) | 129.0 (+47.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -1.2 (+9.2) | 131.4 (+44.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -1.8 (+9.8) | 130.9 (+45.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.1 (+9.1) | 130.4 (+45.6) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 14, 2024 | BRY 89 – 74 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-17 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#343) | -9.6 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#346) | -1.84 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#342) | -2.32 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#334) | 0.439 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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