Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -110 BRY +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +15 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -5.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -3.1 (-18.1) | 153.5 (+9.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -3.2 (-18.2) | 161.5 (+1.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -3.7 (-18.7) | 157.7 (+5.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -4.0 (-19.0) | 154.8 (+8.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#162) | -1.0 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#125) | 0.23 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#147) | 0.49 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#103) | 0.520 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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