Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UNH +1200 BRY -3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +19 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -13.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -12.5 (-6.5) | 145.9 (+25.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -12.0 (-7.0) | 147.4 (+23.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -12.9 (-6.1) | 148.2 (+22.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -12.3 (-6.7) | 145.8 (+25.2) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 14, 2024 | BRY 89 – 74 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#358) | -0.1 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#353) | -0.26 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.67 (#352) | 0.11 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#355) | 0.511 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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