Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -135 BRY +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -3.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -2.0 (+3.0) | 132.6 (+38.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -1.4 (+3.6) | 135.5 (+35.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -2.5 (+2.5) | 133.1 (+37.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.8 (+3.2) | 134.0 (+37.0) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 14, 2024 | BRY 89 – 74 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#344) | -14.5 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#352) | -2.49 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#351) | -3.03 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#342) | 0.414 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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