Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -250 UNH +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -3.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -3.2 (+15.8) | 157.1 (-6.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -2.6 (+16.4) | 151.9 (-0.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -2.6 (+16.4) | 155.1 (-4.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -2.5 (+16.5) | 157.2 (-6.2) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Jan 14, 2024 | BRY 89 – 74 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-10 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#170) | -0.9 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#147) | 0.26 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#143) | 0.06 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#122) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 19.3% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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