Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -4000 UNH +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +34 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -19.1 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -15.1 (+18.9) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -14.4 (+19.6) | 151.9 (-5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -15.5 (+18.5) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -15.4 (+18.6) | 147.9 (-1.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 14, 2024 | BRY 89 – 74 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#157) | -15.8 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#172) | -2.25 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#157) | -2.86 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#111) | 0.398 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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