Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +9 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -11.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -8.8 (-17.8) | 150.3 (+20.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -8.3 (-17.3) | 149.8 (+21.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -9.1 (-18.1) | 151.2 (+19.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -8.6 (-17.6) | 152.6 (+18.4) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 69 HCU |
| Dec 16, 2025 | MCN 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | MCN 75 – 59 HCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | MCN 87 – 69 HCU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MCN 105 – 54 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#324) | -16.7 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#303) | -2.77 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#308) | -3.53 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#217) | 0.376 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 60.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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