Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +1400 MCN -8000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +51 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -19.2 (-31.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -13.9 (-37.1) | 148.9 (+10.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -16.2 (-34.8) | 146.3 (+12.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -19.1 (-31.9) | 147.4 (+11.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -20.2 (-30.8) | 145.7 (+13.3) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 69 HCU |
| Dec 16, 2025 | MCN 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | MCN 75 – 59 HCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | MCN 87 – 69 HCU |
| Feb 24, 2023 | HCU 85 – 80 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 30-4 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 17-1 |
| Home | 5-8 | 18-0 |
| Away | 1-15 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#355) | 7.5 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#349) | 1.76 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#352) | 2.42 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#346) | 0.585 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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