Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +1000 MCN -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +16 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -12.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -14.0 (-2.0) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -14.4 (-1.6) | 134.8 (-0.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -11.1 (-4.9) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -12.1 (-3.9) | 135.7 (-1.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 69 HCU |
| Dec 16, 2025 | MCN 78 – 68 HCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | MCN 87 – 69 HCU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MCN 105 – 54 HCU |
| Feb 24, 2023 | HCU 85 – 80 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 19-1 |
| Home | 8-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#295) | 8.7 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#308) | 0.92 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#294) | 1.26 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#303) | 0.556 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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