Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +18 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -29.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -29.3 (-11.3) | 148.5 (+7.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -23.3 (-5.3) | 149.2 (+6.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -22.2 (-4.2) | 150.7 (+5.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -28.4 (-10.4) | 150.4 (+5.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 69 HCU |
| Dec 16, 2025 | MCN 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | MCN 75 – 59 HCU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MCN 105 – 54 HCU |
| Feb 24, 2023 | HCU 85 – 80 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 4-14 |
| Home | 18-0 | 5-8 |
| Away | 11-3 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 84.8 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#65) | -17.1 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#45) | -2.85 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#35) | -3.85 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#36) | 0.386 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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