Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -8.0 Home covered
O/U 154.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +29 185 Won
Massey QUC -10.2 (+18.8) — —
Massey Totals — 155.9 (+29.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUC -7.6 (+21.4) 154.4 (+30.6) 78% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -9.2 (+19.8) 152.2 (+32.8) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -7.4 (+21.6) 152.4 (+32.6) 79% ✓
Baseline ML QUC -7.1 (+21.9) 153.0 (+32.0) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 QUC 85 – 78 UNA
Jan 22, 2026 QUC 87 – 62 UNA
Feb 27, 2025 UNA 74 – 69 QUC
Jan 30, 2025 QUC 75 – 67 UNA
Jan 28, 2024 UNA 90 – 84 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC UNA
Overall 18-15 18-15
Conference 7-11 10-8
Home 8-5 9-4
Away 7-10 8-10
Neutral 3-0 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 75.6 71.8
Avg Pts Against 75.5 76.5
Massey -1.4 (#198) -7.5 (#299)
Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#154) -0.59 (#235)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#181) -1.24 (#270)
RPI 0.506 (#169) 0.460 (#253)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC UNA
FG% 44.0% 43.4%
3PT% 34.4% 33.8%
REB / G 38.5 33.3
OREB / G 12.3 8.4
AST / TO 0.93 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 48.7%
TOV% 20.0% 16.4%
ORB% 33.6% 23.4%
FT Rate 25.2% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 15.8%
DRB% 73.5% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 16.6% 22.8%

Game Analysis

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