This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -8.0 Home covered
O/U 154.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +29 185 Won
Massey QUC -10.2 (+18.8)
Massey Totals 155.9 (+29.1)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 88%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -9.2 (+19.8) 152.2 (+32.8) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -7.4 (+21.6) 152.4 (+32.6) 79%
Baseline ML QUC -7.1 (+21.9) 153.0 (+32.0) 80%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -7.6 (+21.4) 154.4 (+30.6) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 QUC 8578 UNA
Jan 22, 2026 QUC 8762 UNA
Feb 27, 2025 UNA 7469 QUC
Jan 30, 2025 QUC 7567 UNA
Jan 28, 2024 UNA 9084 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC UNA
Overall 18-15 18-15
Conference 7-11 10-8
Home 8-5 9-4
Away 7-10 8-10
Neutral 3-0 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 75.6 71.8
Avg Pts Against 75.5 76.5
Massey -1.4 (#198) -7.5 (#299)
Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#154) -0.59 (#235)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#181) -1.24 (#270)
RPI 0.506 (#169) 0.460 (#253)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC UNA
FG% 44.0% 43.4%
3PT% 34.4% 33.8%
REB / G 38.5 33.3
OREB / G 12.3 8.4
AST / TO 0.93 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 48.7%
TOV% 20.0% 16.4%
ORB% 33.6% 23.4%
FT Rate 25.2% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 15.8%
DRB% 73.5% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 16.6% 22.8%

Game Analysis

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