Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | QUC +140 UNA -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -2.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -2.6 (+10.6) | 148.2 (-6.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -1.8 (+9.8) | 148.2 (-6.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -2.3 (+10.3) | 149.3 (-7.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -1.9 (+9.9) | 149.1 (-7.1) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | QUC 85 – 78 UNA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | QUC 87 – 62 UNA |
| Feb 27, 2025 | UNA 74 – 69 QUC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UNA 90 – 84 QUC |
| Jan 14, 2023 | QUC 107 – 78 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 9-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#223) | 2.1 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#188) | 0.26 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#210) | 0.42 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#188) | 0.510 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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