Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Atlantic Sun Conference · Flowers Hall · February 19, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -8.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money UNA +340 / QUC -440
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual QUC +7 163 Lost
Massey QUC -7.5 (+0.5)
Massey Totals 161.3 (+1.7)
Bradley-Terry 27%
Weighted B-T 18%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -5.7 (-1.3) 154.4 (+8.6) 33%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -6.6 (-0.4) 155.6 (+7.4) 25%
Baseline ML QUC -6.9 (-0.1) 155.1 (+7.9) 25%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -6.6 (-0.4) 155.0 (+8.0) 33%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2026 QUC 8762 UNA
Feb 27, 2025 UNA 7469 QUC
Jan 30, 2025 QUC 7567 UNA
Jan 28, 2024 UNA 9084 QUC
Jan 14, 2023 QUC 10778 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNA QUC
Overall 9-21 21-14
Conference 4-14 13-5
Home 5-8 12-2
Away 4-12 6-10
Neutral 0-1 3-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.9 84.4
Avg Pts Against 78.0 83.8
Massey -13.2 (#337) -2.7 (#212)
Bradley-Terry -1.97 (#331) -0.44 (#212)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.72 (#336) -0.63 (#214)
RPI 0.412 (#335) 0.499 (#181)
Shooting & Four Factors UNA QUC
FG% 43.0% 48.1%
3PT% 31.4% 35.5%
REB / G 33.3 33.5
OREB / G 10.7 10.7
AST / TO 0.86 1.47
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 56.4%
TOV% 17.3% 15.2%
ORB% 30.6% 31.6%
FT Rate 26.3% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.9% 55.0%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 15.1%
DRB% 67.0% 67.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 29.7%

Game Analysis

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