I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Atlantic Sun Conference · Flowers Hall · February 19, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -8.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money UNA +340 / QUC -440
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual QUC +7 163 Lost
Massey QUC -7.5 (+0.5) — —
Massey Totals — 161.3 (+1.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 18% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUC -6.6 (-0.4) 155.0 (+8.0) 33% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -5.7 (-1.3) 154.4 (+8.6) 33% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -6.6 (-0.4) 155.6 (+7.4) 25% ✓
Baseline ML QUC -6.9 (-0.1) 155.1 (+7.9) 25% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2026 QUC 87 – 62 UNA
Feb 27, 2025 UNA 74 – 69 QUC
Jan 30, 2025 QUC 75 – 67 UNA
Jan 28, 2024 UNA 90 – 84 QUC
Jan 14, 2023 QUC 107 – 78 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNA QUC
Overall 9-21 21-14
Conference 4-14 13-5
Home 5-8 12-2
Away 4-12 6-10
Neutral 0-1 3-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.9 84.4
Avg Pts Against 78.0 83.8
Massey -13.2 (#337) -2.7 (#212)
Bradley-Terry -1.97 (#331) -0.44 (#212)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.72 (#336) -0.63 (#214)
RPI 0.412 (#335) 0.499 (#181)
Shooting & Four Factors UNA QUC
FG% 43.0% 48.1%
3PT% 31.4% 35.5%
REB / G 33.3 33.5
OREB / G 10.7 10.7
AST / TO 0.86 1.47
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 56.4%
TOV% 17.3% 15.2%
ORB% 30.6% 31.6%
FT Rate 26.3% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.9% 55.0%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 15.1%
DRB% 67.0% 67.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 29.7%

Game Analysis

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