Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -425 QUC +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -9.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -9.5 (-4.5) | 154.5 (-11.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -8.2 (-3.2) | 152.1 (-9.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -9.3 (-4.3) | 152.2 (-9.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -8.7 (-3.7) | 153.1 (-10.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | QUC 85 – 78 UNA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | QUC 87 – 62 UNA |
| Jan 30, 2025 | QUC 75 – 67 UNA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UNA 90 – 84 QUC |
| Jan 14, 2023 | QUC 107 – 78 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#116) | -3.4 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#149) | -0.30 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#148) | -0.66 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#133) | 0.489 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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