I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Atlantic Sun Conference · Flowers Hall · February 27, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNA -7.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money UNA -425 / QUC +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual UNA +5 143 Won
Massey UNA -9.4 (-4.4)
Massey Totals 153.8 (-10.8)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 84%
Efficiency Plus ML UNA -8.2 (-3.2) 152.1 (-9.1) 79%
Baseline Tuned ML UNA -9.3 (-4.3) 152.2 (-9.2) 82%
Baseline ML UNA -8.7 (-3.7) 153.1 (-10.1) 83%
Baseline Plus ML UNA -9.5 (-4.5) 154.5 (-11.5) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 QUC 8578 UNA
Jan 22, 2026 QUC 8762 UNA
Jan 30, 2025 QUC 7567 UNA
Jan 28, 2024 UNA 9084 QUC
Jan 14, 2023 QUC 10778 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNA QUC
Overall 24-11 20-15
Conference 14-4 11-7
Home 16-1 9-5
Away 7-10 9-9
Neutral 1-0 2-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.5 75.9
Avg Pts Against 71.0 76.3
Massey 2.8 (#116) -3.4 (#224)
Bradley-Terry 0.27 (#149) -0.30 (#201)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#148) -0.66 (#218)
RPI 0.524 (#133) 0.489 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors UNA QUC
FG% 45.7% 44.6%
3PT% 33.8% 34.2%
REB / G 37.7 36.7
OREB / G 12.2 11.0
AST / TO 1.42 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 52.3%
TOV% 12.8% 18.4%
ORB% 33.6% 30.7%
FT Rate 21.2% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 15.8%
DRB% 71.1% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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