The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 22, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -12.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Under
Money QUC -850 / UNA +575
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +25 149 Won
Massey QUC -13.3 (+11.7) — —
Massey Totals — 163.6 (-14.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUC -13.3 (+11.7) 153.9 (-4.9) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -10.4 (+14.6) 152.9 (-3.9) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -13.2 (+11.8) 152.8 (-3.8) 88% ✓
Baseline ML QUC -11.9 (+13.1) 154.7 (-5.7) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 QUC 85 – 78 UNA
Feb 27, 2025 UNA 74 – 69 QUC
Jan 30, 2025 QUC 75 – 67 UNA
Jan 28, 2024 UNA 90 – 84 QUC
Jan 14, 2023 QUC 107 – 78 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC UNA
Overall 21-14 9-21
Conference 13-5 4-14
Home 12-2 5-8
Away 6-10 4-12
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 84.4 67.9
Avg Pts Against 83.8 78.0
Massey -1.8 (#192) -11.8 (#330)
Bradley-Terry 0.12 (#161) -1.93 (#326)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.04 (#162) -2.69 (#332)
RPI 0.504 (#172) 0.396 (#341)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC UNA
FG% 47.2% 42.4%
3PT% 34.7% 32.0%
REB / G 34.5 33.5
OREB / G 11.1 10.9
AST / TO 1.51 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.8% 48.1%
TOV% 15.4% 16.0%
ORB% 32.3% 30.2%
FT Rate 24.7% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 14.0%
DRB% 66.3% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.7% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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