I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 22, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -12.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Under
Money QUC -850 / UNA +575
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +25 149 Won
Massey QUC -13.3 (+11.7)
Massey Totals 163.6 (-14.6)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -10.4 (+14.6) 152.9 (-3.9) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -13.2 (+11.8) 152.8 (-3.8) 88%
Baseline ML QUC -11.9 (+13.1) 154.7 (-5.7) 88%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -13.3 (+11.7) 153.9 (-4.9) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 QUC 8578 UNA
Feb 27, 2025 UNA 7469 QUC
Jan 30, 2025 QUC 7567 UNA
Jan 28, 2024 UNA 9084 QUC
Jan 14, 2023 QUC 10778 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC UNA
Overall 21-14 9-21
Conference 13-5 4-14
Home 12-2 5-8
Away 6-10 4-12
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 84.4 67.9
Avg Pts Against 83.8 78.0
Massey -1.8 (#192) -11.8 (#330)
Bradley-Terry 0.12 (#161) -1.93 (#326)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.04 (#162) -2.69 (#332)
RPI 0.504 (#172) 0.396 (#341)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC UNA
FG% 47.2% 42.4%
3PT% 34.7% 32.0%
REB / G 34.5 33.5
OREB / G 11.1 10.9
AST / TO 1.51 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.8% 48.1%
TOV% 15.4% 16.0%
ORB% 32.3% 30.2%
FT Rate 24.7% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 14.0%
DRB% 66.3% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.7% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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